England vs DR Congo Prediction FIFA World Cup 2026 — Round of 32, Atlanta

Statistical Edge

Tactical View

England should dominate the ball and territory. Their attacking output is strong: 19.3 shots, 6.7 on target, and 4.3 big chances per game. The major concern is wastefulness, with 3 big chances missed per match.

DR Congo are dangerous because they are clinical in moments. They do not create as much, but Yoane Wissa has scored 3 goals, converts well, and gives them a genuine counter-attacking threat. Their defensive block is also active, with 17.3 tackles and 23.7 clearances per game.

Key Battles

Harry Kane vs Chancel Mbemba / Axel Tuanzebe
Kane has 3 goals and averages 4.3 shots per game. DR Congo’s centre-backs will need a huge defensive display.

Jude Bellingham vs Noah Sadiki / Moutoussamy
Bellingham is England’s highest-rated player at 7.77, with 2 goals, 1 assist and 2 big chances created.

Yoane Wissa vs Marc Guéhi / Ezri Konsa
Wissa is DR Congo’s main route to goal: 3 goals, 1.87 xG and a scoring frequency of 90 minutes.

Prediction

England 2–1 DR Congo

England have too much attacking volume and control, but DR Congo have enough transition threat to make this uncomfortable.

Win Probability

• England: 61%
• Draw after 90 mins: 24%
• DR Congo: 15%

Deduction Verdict

England are favourites because of their superior possession, chance creation and defensive record. DR Congo’s best hope is to keep the game tight, frustrate England’s finishing, and release Wissa quickly on the counter.

Predicted score: England 2–1 DR Congo