Deduction Prediction Scotland vs Morocco FIFA World Cup 2026 – Group C

Scotland come into this match with momentum after beating Haiti 1-0, while Morocco arrive with confidence after holding Brazil to a 1-1 draw. The match is scheduled for 19 June 2026, with FIFA listing it as a Group C fixture.

Opening Match Comparison

Metric

Scotland vs Haiti

Morocco vs Brazil

Result

1–0 win

1–1 draw

Possession

46%

49%

xG

1.05

1.37

Big chances

2

2

Total shots

9

14

Shots on target

2

3

Distance covered

108.2 km

104.1 km

Sprints

117

111

Final third entries

56

66

Passes in final third

48/84

123/157

Ground duels won

38/76

58/99

Aerial duels won

21/35

16/29

Errors leading to shot

3

0

Key Tactical Read

Scotland’s win over Haiti showed high energy and aerial dominance. They covered more distance, made 117 sprints and won 60% of aerial duels. That makes them dangerous from crosses, set-pieces and second balls.

Morocco, however, produced the more complete performance. Against Brazil, they had more shots, higher xG, more final-third entries, better final-third passing and no errors leading to shots. That is a major difference.

Where Scotland Can Hurt Morocco

Scotland’s clearest route is direct play. Against Haiti, they completed 30/58 long balls and 5/14 crosses, while winning 21 aerial duels. Morocco’s aerial profile against Brazil was mixed, so Scotland may target early balls into the box and set-piece pressure.

Where Morocco Have the Edge

Morocco’s advantage is technical control and transition quality. Achraf Hakimi, Brahim Diaz, Ismael Saibari, Ayyoub Bouaddi and Neil El Aynaoui give Morocco more variety in possession. Their 1.37 xG against Brazil suggests they can create good chances even against elite opposition.

Deduction Prediction Model

Outcome

Probability

Morocco win

46%

Draw

31%

Scotland win

23%

Predicted Score

Scotland 1–2 Morocco

Morocco should have the edge because they create better chances, progress the ball more effectively and make fewer defensive errors. Scotland’s aerial threat makes this dangerous, but Morocco look like the more balanced side.

Deduction Confidence Level: 7/10.