Deduction Prediction: Egypt vs Iran FIFA World Cup 2026 — Group G
Deduction AI
Intelligence Dept.
Egypt go into this match in the stronger position. They lead Group G with 4 points, while Iran sit on 2 points after two draws. Egypt qualify with a win or draw, while Iran likely need a win to guarantee progression.
Form Comparison
Metric
Egypt
Iran
Edge
Avg rating
6.97
6.92
Egypt
Goals per game
2.0
1.0
Egypt
x attacking volume
16.5 shots
12.0 shots
Egypt
Shots on target
5.0
3.5
Egypt
Big chances
2.5
1.5
Egypt
Possession
51.0%
39.5%
Egypt
Pass accuracy
84.7%
75.4%
Egypt
Saves per game
3.5
6.5
Iran
Aerial duels won
49.2%
56.0%
Iran
Tactical Picture
Egypt should have more of the ball and create more chances. Their attacking numbers are stronger: 16.5 shots per game, 5 shots on target, and 2.5 big chances per match. The concern is efficiency: they miss 2 big chances per game, so they cannot afford wastefulness against a compact Iran side.
Iran’s strength is resilience. They concede only 1 goal per game, average 39 clearances, and their goalkeeper workload is high at 6.5 saves per match. They are also stronger aerially, winning 56% of aerial duels, so Egypt must be careful defending set pieces and crosses.
Key Battle
Egypt’s attack vs Iran’s low block
Iran are likely to defend deep, absorb pressure and look for set pieces or counters. Egypt’s advantage is shot volume and chance creation, but Iran’s ability to survive pressure could make this a tight game.
Prediction
Egypt 2–1 Iran
Win probability
- Egypt: 48%
- Draw: 30%
- Iran: 22%
Deduction Verdict
Egypt are the better attacking side and have more ways to score, but Iran’s defensive structure and aerial threat make them dangerous. Egypt should edge it, but this is unlikely to be comfortable.
Predicted result: Egypt 2–1 Iran
